Papers
This section presents a collection of AHP/ANP papers. Whether you are a student, academic and/or professional in the field of decision making, you can help us expand this collection by sharing your papers on decision making with the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Analytic Network Process (ANP).
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Paper results for keyword: BayesThe Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MoreDiagnosis with dependent symptoms: Bayes theorem and the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Operations ResearchJudgments are needed in medical diagnosis to determine what tests to perform given certain symptoms. For many diseases, what information to gather on symptoms and what combination of symptoms lead to a given disease are not well known. Even when the number of symptoms is small, the required numbe...
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The Need for Adding Judgment in Baysian Prediction
Thomas Saaty, Lei ZhangJournal: International Journal of Information Technology & Decision MakingThere are many examples of successful application of the famous Bayes’ theorem to forecast the outcome of causes or influences of events. However, there are also many examples of failures of just using probabilities and statistics without also using judgments in each particular application. This ...
Read MoreDiagnosis with dependent symptoms: Bayes theorem and the Analytic Hierarchy Process
Thomas Saaty, Luis VargasJournal: Operations ResearchJudgments are needed in medical diagnosis to determine what tests to perform given certain symptoms. For many diseases, what information to gather on symptoms and what combination of symptoms lead to a given disease are not well known. Even when the number of symptoms is small, the required numbe...
Read More