Papers
Forecasting the resurgence of the US economy in 2001: an expert judgment approach
Author(s)Andrew Blair
Joseph M. Katz Graduate School of Business
University of Pittsburgh
United States
Gershon Mandelker
Joseph M. Katz Graduate School of Business
University of Pittsburgh
United States
Thomas Saaty
Joseph M. Katz Graduate School of Business
University of Pittsburgh
United States
Rozann Whitaker
CreativeDecisions Foundation
United States
Publication date: Oct, 2001
Journal: Socio-Economic Planning SciencesVol.: 36- Issue: 2- Pages: 77-91
Abstract: This paper describes a forecast of the date for the resumption of growth of the US economy in 2001. It uses an expert judgment approach within the framework of decision theory, the Analytic Hierarchy Process, as well as its generalization to dependence and feedback, the Analytic Network Process.
Keywords: Analytic Network Process, ANP, Analytic Hierarchy Process, AHP